Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 West Women Australia

Mandurah Magic WHOME · -

84 : 732023.07.21 · 종료

Lakeside Lightning WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.6%

VALUE EDGE+74.6%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADEA

Mandurah Magic WAnalysis MetricsLakeside Lightning W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+13.17 Point MarginHigher is better -2.17

166.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.33

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mandurah Magic W

L · 81-69L · 68-75L · 81-63W · 82-50L · 86-95

Lakeside Lightning W

L · 79-74L · 77-100L · 91-95W · 84-77W · 59-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.06.06	Mandurah Magic W	93 : 63	Lakeside Lightning W
2024.06.28	Mandurah Magic W	84 : 73	Lakeside Lightning W
2024.04.12	Lakeside Lightning W	67 : 77	Mandurah Magic W
2023.07.21	Mandurah Magic W	84 : 73	Lakeside Lightning W
2023.05.19	Lakeside Lightning W	65 : 81	Mandurah Magic W