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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 West Women Australia
Joondalup Wolves WHOME · -
79 : 742023.07.15 · 종료
Lakeside Lightning WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.1%
VALUE EDGE+84.1%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
Joondalup Wolves WAnalysis MetricsLakeside Lightning W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.17
163.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.33
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Joondalup Wolves W
W · 68-75W · 87-69L · 88-95W · 70-96W · 102-82
Lakeside Lightning W
L · 77-100L · 91-95W · 84-77W · 59-74L · 67-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.01Joondalup Wolves W89 : 59Lakeside Lightning W
2026.03.28Lakeside Lightning W85 : 74Joondalup Wolves W
2024.07.13Lakeside Lightning W76 : 97Joondalup Wolves W
2023.07.15Joondalup Wolves W79 : 74Lakeside Lightning W