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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 West Women Australia
Perth Redbacks WHOME · -
43 : 902023.04.28 · 종료
Willetton Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Perth Redbacks WAnalysis MetricsWilletton Tigers W
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -20.50
171.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Perth Redbacks W
L · 97-71L · 68-104L · 82-65L · 68-74
Willetton Tigers W
W · 71-49W · 88-67W · 100-72L · 97-55W · 66-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.10Perth Redbacks W113 : 102Willetton Tigers W
2024.04.12Willetton Tigers W90 : 74Perth Redbacks W
2023.04.28Perth Redbacks W43 : 90Willetton Tigers W