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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Metallurg NovokuznetskHOME · -
1 : 32014.03.08 · 종료
NiznekamskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 51.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADES
Metallurg NovokuznetskAnalysis MetricsNiznekamsk
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+0.83 Goal DifferentialHigher is better -1.25
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 3.17
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
L · 6-5W · 2-7L · 3-1W · 3-1W · 3-2
Niznekamsk
L · 2-4W · 5-1L · 3-5L · 7-3L · 4-0

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.13Niznekamsk6 : 0Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.12.14Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 2Niznekamsk
2014.03.12Niznekamsk2 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.03.08Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 3Niznekamsk
2014.01.27Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 2Niznekamsk
2013.09.21Niznekamsk6 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.12.06Niznekamsk4 : 3Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.10.19Metallurg Novokuznetsk5 : 4Niznekamsk