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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

KHL Russia
Sibir NovosibirskHOME · -
6 : 52014.03.04 · 종료
Metallurg NovokuznetskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
아이스하키 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Goal differential · Goals against · Recent form · Home ice

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 55.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.8%
VALUE EDGE+59.8%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Sibir NovosibirskAnalysis MetricsMetallurg Novokuznetsk
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.58 Goal DifferentialHigher is better +0.83
2.00 Average goals concededLower is better 2.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
3.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sibir Novosibirsk
L · 3-1W · 1-2W · 4-0L · 3-4W · 2-1
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
W · 2-7L · 3-1W · 3-1W · 3-2L · 2-3

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.01.20Metallurg Novokuznetsk2 : 5Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.11.23Sibir Novosibirsk4 : 2Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.11.21Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 4Sibir Novosibirsk
2014.09.06Sibir Novosibirsk6 : 1Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2014.03.04Sibir Novosibirsk6 : 5Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2013.09.05Metallurg Novokuznetsk3 : 2Sibir Novosibirsk
2013.02.01Metallurg Novokuznetsk1 : 7Sibir Novosibirsk
2012.11.24Metallurg Novokuznetsk0 : 1Sibir Novosibirsk
2012.11.19Sibir Novosibirsk2 : 0Metallurg Novokuznetsk
2012.10.11Sibir Novosibirsk3 : 5Metallurg Novokuznetsk