Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · NBL1 South Women - Semi-finals

Geelong WHOME · -

74 : 852023.08.05 · 종료

Waverley WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.4%

VALUE EDGE+65.4%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADEA

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsWaverley W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+8.00 Point MarginHigher is better +16.42

153.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.08

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.1 / 15

Prediction separation13.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

W · 76-86W · 76-72W · 84-79L · 72-71W · 69-78

Waverley W

W · 80-57L · 75-64L · 71-77W · 63-97L · 78-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.08.05	Geelong W	74 : 85	Waverley W
2022.07.09	Geelong W	109 : 90	Waverley W
2021.05.09	Waverley W	64 : 61	Geelong W
2021.05.01	Geelong W	92 : 49	Waverley W
2019.05.05	Waverley W	54 : 83	Geelong W