Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · NBL1 South Women - Quarter-finals

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

74 : 722023.07.28 · 종료

Ringwood WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.2%

VALUE EDGE+64.2%

FAIR ODDS1.56

GRADEA

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsRingwood W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+10.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.58

162.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.58

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.8 / 15

Prediction separation12.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

L · 76-86W · 70-92W · 71-77W · 74-81W · 81-99

Ringwood W

W · 56-81L · 86-82W · 72-71W · 78-73W · 65-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.28	Mt. Gambier W	74 : 72	Ringwood W
2023.06.17	Ringwood W	99 : 77	Mt. Gambier W
2023.04.29	Mt. Gambier W	77 : 87	Ringwood W
2022.08.20	Ringwood W	77 : 71	Mt. Gambier W
2022.05.14	Ringwood W	62 : 55	Mt. Gambier W
2021.05.01	Mt. Gambier W	45 : 89	Ringwood W