Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
77 : 842023.07.16 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.7%
VALUE EDGE+58.7%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEB
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.67
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
142.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 76-87L · 71-64L · 91-74W · 110-85L · 59-88
Keilor Thunder W
L · 76-72W · 62-72L · 87-65W · 71-69L · 54-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.16 | Casey Cavaliers W | 77 : 84 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.08.13 | Keilor Thunder W | 91 : 65 | Casey Cavaliers W |