Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
70 : 742023.07.16 · 종료
Sandringham WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADES
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsSandringham W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-19.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.33
144.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 71-64L · 65-89L · 84-50L · 84-56L · 75-88
Sandringham W
W · 59-92L · 74-80W · 89-71W · 82-75W · 84-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.16 | Melbourne Tigers W | 70 : 74 | Sandringham W |
| 2023.06.08 | Sandringham W | 88 : 61 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.05.22 | Melbourne Tigers W | 56 : 62 | Sandringham W |
| 2022.05.07 | Sandringham W | 68 : 48 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.07.04 | Sandringham W | 49 : 100 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.04.17 | Melbourne Tigers W | 62 : 87 | Sandringham W |
| 2019.05.04 | Melbourne Tigers W | 60 : 66 | Sandringham W |
| 2017.07.30 | Melbourne Tigers W | 103 : 82 | Sandringham W |
| 2017.05.06 | Sandringham W | 81 : 59 | Melbourne Tigers W |