Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Eltham WHOME · -
70 : 922023.07.16 · 종료
Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Eltham WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.17
150.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.33
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham W
W · 92-83W · 62-77W · 87-91L · 70-89L · 103-64
Mt. Gambier W
W · 71-77W · 74-81W · 81-99W · 92-59L · 68-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.16 | Eltham W | 70 : 92 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.07.02 | Mt. Gambier W | 75 : 73 | Eltham W |