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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Waverley WHOME · -
71 : 772023.07.15 · 종료
Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Waverley WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+17.83 Point MarginHigher is better +10.50
154.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley W
W · 63-97L · 78-73W · 84-50W · 70-89W · 59-88
Mt. Gambier W
W · 74-81W · 81-99W · 92-59L · 68-75W · 94-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.15Waverley W71 : 77Mt. Gambier W
2023.05.12Mt. Gambier W97 : 81Waverley W
2022.08.14Waverley W70 : 64Mt. Gambier W