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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
76 : 872023.07.15 · 종료
Dandenong Rangers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.1%
VALUE EDGE+57.1%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsDandenong Rangers W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
159.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.75
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 71-64L · 91-74W · 110-85L · 59-88L · 92-88
Dandenong Rangers W
W · 79-62L · 63-97L · 92-59W · 74-75W · 78-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.15Casey Cavaliers W76 : 87Dandenong Rangers W
2023.04.01Dandenong Rangers W77 : 67Casey Cavaliers W
2022.08.06Casey Cavaliers W85 : 60Dandenong Rangers W
2022.04.23Dandenong Rangers W71 : 86Casey Cavaliers W