Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Hobart Chargers WHOME · -
83 : 692023.07.14 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
Hobart Chargers WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.17
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers W
L · 62-72L · 81-99L · 89-71L · 110-85W · 91-80
Launceston W
L · 74-81W · 87-65W · 77-79W · 55-57L · 72-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.14 | Hobart Chargers W | 83 : 69 | Launceston W |
| 2023.04.01 | Launceston W | 92 : 53 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.08.12 | Hobart Chargers W | 67 : 76 | Launceston W |
| 2022.04.23 | Launceston W | 81 : 43 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.06.05 | Launceston W | 100 : 52 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.04.17 | Hobart Chargers W | 61 : 91 | Launceston W |
| 2017.08.11 | Hobart Chargers W | 82 : 86 | Launceston W |
| 2017.07.15 | Launceston W | 73 : 99 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.03.25 | Hobart Chargers W | 66 : 50 | Launceston W |
| 2016.08.06 | Launceston W | 69 : 64 | Hobart Chargers W |