Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -

71 : 642023.07.09 · 종료

Casey Cavaliers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.1%

VALUE EDGE+53.1%

FAIR ODDS1.88

GRADEA

Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-20.00 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

145.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.08

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage17.7 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.1 / 15

Prediction separation2.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 65-89L · 84-50L · 84-56L · 75-88L · 89-51

Casey Cavaliers W

L · 91-74W · 110-85L · 59-88L · 92-88L · 69-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.09	Melbourne Tigers W	71 : 64	Casey Cavaliers W
2022.04.22	Casey Cavaliers W	94 : 44	Melbourne Tigers W