Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Launceston WHOME · -

74 : 812023.07.08 · 종료

Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY65.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +65.9%

VALUE EDGE+65.9%

FAIR ODDS1.52

GRADEA

Launceston WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.75 Point MarginHigher is better +10.42

149.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.92

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation13.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

34.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

65.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Launceston W

W · 87-65W · 77-79W · 55-57L · 72-89W · 73-82

Mt. Gambier W

W · 81-99W · 92-59L · 68-75W · 94-59W · 65-107

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.08	Launceston W	74 : 81	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.23	Mt. Gambier W	76 : 62	Launceston W
2021.05.29	Launceston W	82 : 79	Mt. Gambier W