Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
84 : 792023.07.08 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.4%
VALUE EDGE+77.4%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+6.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.50
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 72-71W · 69-78W · 84-56W · 103-64L · 94-59
Ballarat W
L · 87-91L · 65-84L · 64-58L · 65-107L · 73-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Geelong W | 84 : 79 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.06.04 | Geelong W | 77 : 72 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.04.23 | Ballarat W | 69 : 81 | Geelong W |
| 2019.07.03 | Ballarat W | 70 : 82 | Geelong W |
| 2019.06.15 | Geelong W | 83 : 60 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.03.31 | Geelong W | 90 : 64 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.08.13 | Geelong W | 68 : 77 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.07.02 | Ballarat W | 65 : 56 | Geelong W |
| 2015.07.08 | Ballarat W | 65 : 62 | Geelong W |
| 2015.04.11 | Geelong W | 66 : 64 | Ballarat W |