Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
65 : 892023.07.07 · 종료
Kilsyth WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsKilsyth W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-17.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
143.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
139.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 84-50L · 84-56L · 75-88L · 89-51L · 57-88
Kilsyth W
L · 69-63W · 77-79W · 64-58W · 48-43W · 69-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 65 : 89 | Kilsyth W |
| 2022.06.25 | Kilsyth W | 71 : 59 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.04.28 | Kilsyth W | 94 : 62 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.07.22 | Kilsyth W | 71 : 65 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.06.24 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 76 | Kilsyth W |