Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Ringwood WHOME · -

72 : 712023.07.07 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY65.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +65.6%

VALUE EDGE+65.6%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADEA

Ringwood WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+3.33 Point MarginHigher is better +7.17

153.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.50

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.8 / 15

Prediction separation13.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

34.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

65.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ringwood W

W · 78-73W · 65-84L · 74-75L · 84-94W · 57-88

Geelong W

W · 69-78W · 84-56W · 103-64L · 94-59W · 92-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Ringwood W	72 : 71	Geelong W
2022.04.30	Geelong W	63 : 54	Ringwood W
2021.04.24	Ringwood W	84 : 55	Geelong W
2019.08.03	Geelong W	78 : 63	Ringwood W
2019.07.06	Ringwood W	78 : 70	Geelong W