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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Waverley WHOME · -
84 : 502023.07.02 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.2%
VALUE EDGE+86.2%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADES
Waverley WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+14.50 Point MarginHigher is better -16.58
155.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley W
W · 70-89W · 59-88W · 67-58L · 69-71L · 92-46
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 84-56L · 75-88L · 89-51L · 57-88L · 88-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.02Waverley W84 : 50Melbourne Tigers W
2023.04.13Melbourne Tigers W78 : 86Waverley W
2022.07.17Waverley W71 : 50Melbourne Tigers W
2019.04.13Waverley W69 : 72Melbourne Tigers W