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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
68 : 752023.06.30 · 종료
Bendigo WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.4%
VALUE EDGE+65.4%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsBendigo W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+11.58 Point MarginHigher is better -8.33
162.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.17
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 94-59W · 65-107L · 99-77W · 82-75W · 78-76
Bendigo W
W · 54-72W · 89-51W · 85-60W · 97-91W · 92-46

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.05Bendigo W97 : 96Mt. Gambier W
2023.06.30Mt. Gambier W68 : 75Bendigo W
2022.07.30Bendigo W81 : 78Mt. Gambier W