Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
84 : 562023.06.30 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME85.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY14.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+85.7%
VALUE EDGE+85.7%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADES
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-17.08
154.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
W · 103-64L · 94-59W · 92-84W · 66-77W · 82-47
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 75-88L · 89-51L · 57-88L · 88-61L · 68-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.30 | Geelong W | 84 : 56 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.07.24 | Melbourne Tigers W | 49 : 87 | Geelong W |
| 2021.05.15 | Geelong W | 90 : 82 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.05.18 | Melbourne Tigers W | 74 : 92 | Geelong W |
| 2017.04.01 | Melbourne Tigers W | 62 : 90 | Geelong W |