Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
75 : 882023.06.25 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADES
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-18.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.75
142.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.58
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 89-51L · 57-88L · 88-61L · 68-75L · 77-60
Frankston W
L · 78-72W · 79-71W · 65-77W · 59-94W · 79-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.25 | Melbourne Tigers W | 75 : 88 | Frankston W |
| 2022.08.14 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 72 | Frankston W |
| 2019.07.06 | Frankston W | 75 : 69 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.04.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 77 : 71 | Frankston W |
| 2017.07.01 | Melbourne Tigers W | 79 : 69 | Frankston W |
| 2017.05.07 | Frankston W | 89 : 59 | Melbourne Tigers W |