Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Geelong WHOME · -
103 : 642023.06.25 · 종료
Eltham WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsEltham W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.67
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
1.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
L · 94-59W · 92-84W · 66-77W · 82-47L · 92-75
Eltham W
W · 66-61L · 85-60L · 79-71W · 81-67W · 61-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.25 | Geelong W | 103 : 64 | Eltham W |
| 2022.05.14 | Eltham W | 77 : 89 | Geelong W |
| 2019.04.20 | Geelong W | 96 : 60 | Eltham W |