Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Launceston WHOME · -
72 : 892023.06.24 · 종료
Nunawading WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.6%
VALUE EDGE+59.6%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADES
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsNunawading W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
148.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation8.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
W · 73-82L · 65-77W · 80-72L · 61-97W · 79-84
Nunawading W
L · 91-80L · 48-43L · 68-79W · 101-80W · 77-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Launceston W | 72 : 89 | Nunawading W |
| 2022.08.27 | Nunawading W | 68 : 79 | Launceston W |
| 2022.06.26 | Nunawading W | 105 : 91 | Launceston W |
| 2019.04.06 | Launceston W | 85 : 87 | Nunawading W |
| 2017.05.27 | Launceston W | 81 : 91 | Nunawading W |
| 2016.08.13 | Launceston W | 84 : 69 | Nunawading W |
| 2015.08.01 | Nunawading W | 60 : 63 | Launceston W |