Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
58 : 762023.06.24 · 종료
Diamond Valley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
144.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
L · 89-58L · 66-77W · 83-72L · 74-71L · 79-61
Diamond Valley W
W · 92-88L · 67-89L · 82-75L · 101-80W · 75-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Keilor Thunder W | 58 : 76 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2023.04.29 | Diamond Valley W | 94 : 64 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.07.23 | Keilor Thunder W | 76 : 46 | Diamond Valley W |