Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

94 : 592023.06.23 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.8%

VALUE EDGE+53.8%

FAIR ODDS1.86

GRADEA

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+8.08 Point MarginHigher is better +10.00

162.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.67

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation3.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 65-107L · 99-77W · 82-75W · 78-76W · 88-80

Geelong W

W · 92-84W · 66-77W · 82-47L · 92-75W · 86-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.21	Mt. Gambier W	76 : 86	Geelong W
2023.06.23	Mt. Gambier W	94 : 59	Geelong W
2023.05.06	Geelong W	85 : 74	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.31	Geelong W	72 : 73	Mt. Gambier W
2021.07.09	Geelong W	80 : 75	Mt. Gambier W