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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
57 : 882023.06.18 · 종료
Ringwood WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsRingwood W
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-16.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.83
144.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.67
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
9.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 88-61L · 68-75L · 77-60L · 61-81W · 77-74
Ringwood W
W · 99-77W · 78-80L · 80-72L · 49-88W · 65-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.18Melbourne Tigers W57 : 88Ringwood W
2022.06.29Ringwood W71 : 47Melbourne Tigers W
2021.06.30Ringwood W71 : 56Melbourne Tigers W
2019.05.12Melbourne Tigers W90 : 72Ringwood W