Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
82 : 752023.06.09 · 종료
Diamond Valley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.8%
VALUE EDGE+70.8%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 78-76W · 88-80W · 87-71W · 97-81L · 67-65
Diamond Valley W
L · 101-80W · 75-70W · 61-81L · 68-89W · 71-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.09 | Mt. Gambier W | 82 : 75 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2022.07.09 | Diamond Valley W | 74 : 99 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.04.23 | Mt. Gambier W | 99 : 58 | Diamond Valley W |