Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
68 : 752023.06.04 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-18.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
144.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.17
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 77-60L · 61-81W · 77-74L · 85-56W · 67-65
Ballarat W
L · 51-74W · 66-79L · 72-86L · 71-77L · 82-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.04 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 75 | Ballarat W |
| 2023.04.01 | Ballarat W | 79 : 54 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.08.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 85 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.21 | Ballarat W | 82 : 70 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.06.27 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 80 | Ballarat W |
| 2019.07.20 | Ballarat W | 84 : 79 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.05.20 | Melbourne Tigers W | 95 : 76 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.04.22 | Ballarat W | 81 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers W |