Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Frankston WHOME · -
79 : 612023.05.27 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Frankston WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.58
149.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston W
W · 69-80L · 84-80W · 71-77W · 82-75W · 68-81
Keilor Thunder W
L · 65-79L · 74-80W · 94-97W · 74-60L · 82-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Frankston W | 79 : 61 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.07.17 | Keilor Thunder W | 77 : 63 | Frankston W |