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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Nunawading WHOME · -
77 : 602023.05.27 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.5%
VALUE EDGE+79.5%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -18.00
152.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 145.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading W
L · 80-63L · 86-67W · 69-73L · 74-87W · 74-71
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 61-81W · 77-74L · 85-56W · 67-65L · 83-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.27Nunawading W77 : 60Melbourne Tigers W
2023.04.20Melbourne Tigers W88 : 71Nunawading W
2022.08.13Nunawading W72 : 56Melbourne Tigers W
2022.05.08Melbourne Tigers W48 : 85Nunawading W
2021.05.23Melbourne Tigers W89 : 66Nunawading W
2019.06.16Nunawading W75 : 66Melbourne Tigers W
2017.07.29Nunawading W75 : 70Melbourne Tigers W