Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
66 : 792023.05.27 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.00
161.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 64-60W · 84-80L · 69-73L · 80-73W · 84-60
Ballarat W
L · 72-86L · 71-77L · 82-75L · 74-70L · 37-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Casey Cavaliers W | 66 : 79 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.15 | Ballarat W | 73 : 85 | Casey Cavaliers W |