Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
61 : 812023.05.21 · 종료
Diamond Valley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-17.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
144.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 77-74L · 85-56W · 67-65L · 83-76L · 82-51
Diamond Valley W
L · 68-89W · 71-82L · 67-73W · 74-70W · 94-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.21 | Melbourne Tigers W | 61 : 81 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2022.07.03 | Melbourne Tigers W | 60 : 50 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2021.05.01 | Diamond Valley W | 48 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2019.05.11 | Melbourne Tigers W | 73 : 51 | Diamond Valley W |