Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Sandringham WHOME · -
79 : 842023.05.21 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Sandringham WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.75
151.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
1.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sandringham W
L · 87-71L · 94-97W · 66-82W · 77-87W · 79-56
Launceston W
L · 78-71L · 55-86L · 98-63L · 84-60W · 83-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.21 | Sandringham W | 79 : 84 | Launceston W |
| 2022.08.06 | Launceston W | 76 : 87 | Sandringham W |
| 2021.05.02 | Sandringham W | 67 : 100 | Launceston W |
| 2019.03.30 | Launceston W | 64 : 70 | Sandringham W |
| 2017.04.22 | Launceston W | 76 : 52 | Sandringham W |
| 2016.07.31 | Sandringham W | 57 : 74 | Launceston W |
| 2016.04.02 | Launceston W | 87 : 69 | Sandringham W |
| 2015.06.14 | Sandringham W | 70 : 88 | Launceston W |
| 2015.04.11 | Launceston W | 100 : 80 | Sandringham W |