Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Kilsyth WHOME · -
76 : 942023.05.21 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.4%
VALUE EDGE+66.4%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
Kilsyth WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.75
138.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth W
W · 64-60L · 71-82L · 74-60L · 93-42L · 77-66
Hobart Chargers W
W · 74-80L · 73-81W · 74-87L · 110-76W · 82-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.21 | Kilsyth W | 76 : 94 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.05.06 | Hobart Chargers W | 57 : 75 | Kilsyth W |
| 2021.05.01 | Kilsyth W | 75 : 73 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.04.30 | Kilsyth W | 81 : 64 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2016.07.08 | Hobart Chargers W | 61 : 69 | Kilsyth W |
| 2016.05.15 | Kilsyth W | 83 : 68 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2015.08.07 | Hobart Chargers W | 67 : 82 | Kilsyth W |
| 2015.04.25 | Kilsyth W | 87 : 68 | Hobart Chargers W |