Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
74 : 802023.05.20 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
W · 94-97W · 74-60L · 82-62L · 94-64L · 90-59
Hobart Chargers W
L · 73-81W · 74-87L · 110-76W · 82-51L · 59-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Hobart Chargers W | 62 : 72 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2023.05.20 | Keilor Thunder W | 74 : 80 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.06.26 | Keilor Thunder W | 91 : 76 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.04.29 | Hobart Chargers W | 55 : 68 | Keilor Thunder W |