Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

87 : 712023.05.19 · 종료

Sandringham WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.7%

VALUE EDGE+59.7%

FAIR ODDS1.67

GRADEB

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsSandringham W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +9.00

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.8 / 15

Prediction separation8.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 97-81L · 67-65L · 85-74L · 77-87W · 90-59

Sandringham W

L · 94-97W · 66-82W · 77-87W · 79-56L · 74-106

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.19	Mt. Gambier W	87 : 71	Sandringham W
2023.04.01	Sandringham W	74 : 78	Mt. Gambier W
2022.07.10	Sandringham W	85 : 78	Mt. Gambier W
2021.07.10	Mt. Gambier W	83 : 51	Sandringham W
2021.04.24	Sandringham W	72 : 70	Mt. Gambier W