Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia

Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
84 : 802023.05.14 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.17
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 69-73L · 80-73W · 84-60L · 81-65L · 61-90
Frankston W
W · 71-77W · 82-75W · 68-81W · 85-76W · 68-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Frankston W | 91 : 74 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2023.05.14 | Casey Cavaliers W | 84 : 80 | Frankston W |
| 2022.07.09 | Casey Cavaliers W | 65 : 63 | Frankston W |
| 2022.05.21 | Frankston W | 86 : 81 | Casey Cavaliers W |