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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
84 : 802023.05.14 · 종료
Frankston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-9.50 Point MarginHigher is better +4.17
159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.50
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 69-73L · 80-73W · 84-60L · 81-65L · 61-90
Frankston W
W · 71-77W · 82-75W · 68-81W · 85-76W · 68-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.07.08Frankston W91 : 74Casey Cavaliers W
2023.05.14Casey Cavaliers W84 : 80Frankston W
2022.07.09Casey Cavaliers W65 : 63Frankston W
2022.05.21Frankston W86 : 81Casey Cavaliers W