Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia

Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -

77 : 742023.05.14 · 종료

Knox WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME17.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY82.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +82.2%

VALUE EDGE+82.2%

FAIR ODDS1.22

GRADEA

Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsKnox W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-19.67 Point MarginHigher is better -5.08

143.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.08

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

17.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

82.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 85-56W · 67-65L · 83-76L · 82-51L · 80-72

Knox W

W · 71-77L · 66-82W · 93-47W · 81-65W · 59-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.14	Melbourne Tigers W	77 : 74	Knox W
2022.07.30	Knox W	94 : 42	Melbourne Tigers W
2021.07.31	Knox W	72 : 78	Melbourne Tigers W
2019.05.26	Melbourne Tigers W	74 : 86	Knox W
2019.04.14	Knox W	104 : 72	Melbourne Tigers W