Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Launceston WHOME · -
55 : 862023.05.13 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
L · 98-63L · 84-60W · 83-76W · 96-58L · 66-75
Geelong W
W · 73-81W · 67-73W · 85-74L · 68-81W · 61-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.13 | Launceston W | 55 : 86 | Geelong W |
| 2022.08.20 | Geelong W | 65 : 77 | Launceston W |
| 2022.06.25 | Geelong W | 73 : 77 | Launceston W |
| 2021.07.03 | Launceston W | 73 : 70 | Geelong W |
| 2019.06.21 | Geelong W | 89 : 57 | Launceston W |
| 2019.06.01 | Launceston W | 71 : 85 | Geelong W |
| 2017.07.01 | Launceston W | 65 : 84 | Geelong W |
| 2017.05.26 | Geelong W | 95 : 59 | Launceston W |
| 2016.08.27 | Launceston W | 79 : 68 | Geelong W |
| 2016.07.23 | Launceston W | 57 : 64 | Geelong W |