Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Eltham WHOME · -

85 : 562023.05.13 · 종료

Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY19.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +80.8%

VALUE EDGE+80.8%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEA

Eltham WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67

151.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

80.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

19.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Eltham W

W · 81-61L · 74-71W · 82-62L · 79-56L · 64-73

Melbourne Tigers W

W · 67-65L · 83-76L · 82-51L · 80-72W · 88-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.13	Eltham W	85 : 56	Melbourne Tigers W
2022.05.01	Melbourne Tigers W	41 : 80	Eltham W
2019.07.21	Melbourne Tigers W	72 : 93	Eltham W