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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
69 : 732023.05.13 · 종료
Nunawading WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsNunawading W
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-9.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.83
159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 80-73W · 84-60L · 81-65L · 61-90L · 70-100
Nunawading W
L · 74-87W · 74-71L · 72-67L · 88-71W · 95-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.13Casey Cavaliers W69 : 73Nunawading W
2022.05.14Casey Cavaliers W76 : 95Nunawading W