Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

97 : 812023.05.12 · 종료

Waverley WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.5%

VALUE EDGE+62.5%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEB

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsWaverley W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +14.92

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.08

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.5 / 15

Prediction separation10.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

L · 67-65L · 85-74L · 77-87W · 90-59W · 63-86

Waverley W

W · 98-63W · 72-67W · 71-60W · 74-106W · 63-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.15	Waverley W	71 : 77	Mt. Gambier W
2023.05.12	Mt. Gambier W	97 : 81	Waverley W
2022.08.14	Waverley W	70 : 64	Mt. Gambier W