Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Hobart Chargers WHOME · -
73 : 812023.05.12 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Hobart Chargers WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
158.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hobart Chargers W
W · 74-87L · 110-76W · 82-51L · 59-74W · 55-42
Geelong W
W · 67-73W · 85-74L · 68-81W · 61-90W · 92-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.12 | Hobart Chargers W | 73 : 81 | Geelong W |
| 2022.07.23 | Geelong W | 69 : 73 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.07.02 | Hobart Chargers W | 69 : 98 | Geelong W |
| 2017.06.30 | Hobart Chargers W | 97 : 92 | Geelong W |
| 2016.07.22 | Hobart Chargers W | 57 : 77 | Geelong W |
| 2016.05.14 | Geelong W | 79 : 50 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2015.04.17 | Hobart Chargers W | 80 : 75 | Geelong W |