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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia
Nunawading WHOME · -
74 : 872023.05.07 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.7%
VALUE EDGE+78.7%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEA
Nunawading WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-3.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.75
152.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.92
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nunawading W
W · 74-71L · 72-67L · 88-71W · 95-51W · 69-76
Hobart Chargers W
L · 110-76W · 82-51L · 59-74W · 55-42L · 84-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.06.23Hobart Chargers W91 : 80Nunawading W
2023.05.07Nunawading W74 : 87Hobart Chargers W
2022.07.09Nunawading W102 : 59Hobart Chargers W
2021.07.09Nunawading W88 : 70Hobart Chargers W
2017.05.26Hobart Chargers W81 : 77Nunawading W
2016.08.12Hobart Chargers W80 : 84Nunawading W
2016.07.24Nunawading W55 : 85Hobart Chargers W
2015.07.24Hobart Chargers W84 : 62Nunawading W
2015.07.11Nunawading W62 : 73Hobart Chargers W