Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
67 : 652023.05.07 · 종료
Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.42
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.75
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 83-76L · 82-51L · 80-72W · 88-71W · 52-81
Mt. Gambier W
L · 85-74L · 77-87W · 90-59W · 63-86W · 105-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 67 : 65 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.05.28 | Mt. Gambier W | 74 : 43 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.05.09 | Melbourne Tigers W | 106 : 64 | Mt. Gambier W |