Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Frankston WHOME · -
82 : 752023.05.07 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.1%
VALUE EDGE+50.1%
FAIR ODDS2.00
GRADEA
Frankston WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
147.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston W
W · 68-81W · 85-76W · 68-64L · 63-86L · 63-86
Ballarat W
L · 74-70L · 37-76L · 96-58L · 55-42L · 95-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.07 | Frankston W | 82 : 75 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.07.16 | Ballarat W | 83 : 77 | Frankston W |
| 2021.05.08 | Ballarat W | 50 : 61 | Frankston W |
| 2017.07.29 | Frankston W | 74 : 81 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.07.07 | Ballarat W | 73 : 64 | Frankston W |
| 2016.07.10 | Frankston W | 69 : 64 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.05.14 | Ballarat W | 75 : 76 | Frankston W |
| 2015.07.26 | Frankston W | 76 : 61 | Ballarat W |
| 2015.05.03 | Ballarat W | 71 : 80 | Frankston W |