Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia

Diamond Valley WHOME · -

67 : 732023.05.07 · 종료

Geelong WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME22.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY78.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +78.0%

VALUE EDGE+78.0%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADEA

Diamond Valley WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-0.08 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

158.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.50

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

22.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

78.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Diamond Valley W

W · 74-70W · 94-64L · 71-60L · 68-64W · 68-81

Geelong W

W · 85-74L · 68-81W · 61-90W · 92-89L · 86-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.07	Diamond Valley W	67 : 73	Geelong W
2022.06.19	Diamond Valley W	66 : 94	Geelong W
2021.06.27	Diamond Valley W	55 : 95	Geelong W
2019.05.19	Geelong W	84 : 50	Diamond Valley W