Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia

Diamond Valley WHOME · -
74 : 702023.05.06 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Diamond Valley WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-0.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley W
W · 94-64L · 71-60L · 68-64W · 68-81L · 65-78
Ballarat W
L · 37-76L · 96-58L · 55-42L · 95-51L · 64-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.09 | Ballarat W | 81 : 88 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2023.05.06 | Diamond Valley W | 74 : 70 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.08.06 | Ballarat W | 89 : 68 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2021.07.04 | Diamond Valley W | 85 : 78 | Ballarat W |
| 2019.06.29 | Ballarat W | 84 : 68 | Diamond Valley W |