Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
84 : 602023.05.06 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.0%
VALUE EDGE+62.0%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.75
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 81-65L · 61-90L · 70-100L · 95-89L · 105-70
Launceston W
W · 83-76W · 96-58L · 66-75L · 105-80L · 84-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.06 | Casey Cavaliers W | 84 : 60 | Launceston W |
| 2022.06.04 | Launceston W | 71 : 85 | Casey Cavaliers W |